Ponzi, property and genuine wealth creation

Karl FitzgeraldCommentary, Hot IssuesLeave a Comment

photo credit: James Willamor Michael Hudson explores the analogous nature of Ponzi schemes and the property bubble. How is wealth created in the modern era? Through hard word, through who you know or what you ‘flip’? December 23, 2008 Last week the Good Lord evidently realized that not enough people had been reading Hyman Minsky’s explanation of how financial cycles … Read More

IR Reform: Unmentionable Barriers to Job Creation

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IR Reform: Unmentionable Barriers to Job Creation

The Howard government’s industrial relations agenda is supposedly about job-creation, as if the cost of labour — including wages and salaries, penalty rates and other perks, and the difficulty of reversing bad hiring decisions — were the last remaining barrier to full employment.

Sorry that we have to state the bleeding obvious, but:

* Jobs cannot be created unless the employer can pay the rent or mortgage on the business premises out of the proceeds of the business; and

* Jobs cannot be created unless the workers can pay the rent or mortgage on housing within commuting distance of those jobs, out of wages that the employer can pay out of the proceeds of the business.

Negative Gearing: Incompetence or Conspiracy?

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A rental property is said to be negatively geared if the owner’s expenses (including mortgage interest and maintenance) exceed the rental income, so that the property makes an annual loss. If the tax system allows negative gearing deductibility, that loss can be deducted from other income for tax purposes. Abolition of this deductibility, loosely known as “abolition of negative gearing”, would make the owner’s expenses deductible against the rent alone — not against other income.

SPIN: Negative gearing deductibility helps renters and first home buyers by encouraging property investors to “supply accommodation”; the larger the supply, the lower the rents and prices.

IR Reform: Who Really Wins

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Who are the real winners and losers under the Howard government’s industrial relations reforms? We think you can work it out for yourselves. Here are some hints:

1. If workers in firms with less than 100 employees have lost their protection against unfair dismissal (not to be confused with unlawful dismissal), and if all other workers have lost their protection against unfair dismissal as long as their employers can claim “operational requirements”, how will this effect workers’ ability to get home loans? And how will that affect the value of your home?

2. If workers’ wages become more dependent on the workers’ own bargaining power, which workers will lose more: those with more bargaining power, or those with less? In the past, have these workers been comparatively well-paid or poorly-paid? Are they more likely to be home owners or renters? How will this affect the rents received by mum-and-dad property investors, and the values of their investments?

FHOG Reloaded: New Home Builder’s Grant

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SPIN: The First Home Owners’ Grant (FHOG) helps first-time home buyers enter the market.

FACT: More precisely, the FHOG helps first-time buyers to compete with other buyers who can use the equity in their old homes to bid up prices. But by increasing bids from first-time buyers, the FHOG also raises prices, especially at the bottom of the market where first-time buyers are concentrated. Thus the FHOG partly defeats its own purpose. Moreover, the FHOG only helps people who are rich enough to be contemplating home ownership; it does nothing for life-long renters.

SOLUTION: Make the grant available only for new homes in order to encourage construction, so that the increase in demand is offset by the greatest possible increase in supply. Then make the grant available to investors as well as intending owner-occupants, so that the increase in supply extends to rental accommodation. But keep the grant in the form of a fixed sum per dwelling, so that investors have an incentive to build a larger number of cheaper dwellings rather than a smaller number of more expensive ones; that maximizes the supply at the affordable end of the market. In short, turn the FHOG into a New Home Builder’s Grant.